Monday, November 3, 2014

What's wrong with Seattle?

The Seattle Seahawks were the most dominant team in the league last year, but it wasn’t because they played easy opponents. Obviously they play in the NFC West, which most considered to be the strongest division in the entire league, with 3 teams totaling over 10 wins. They went 4-2 in the division, 13-3 overall, and earned the top seed in the loaded NFC.

In the playoffs they ousted the Saints by a score of 23-15 and the 49ers 23-17 en route to the Super Bowl. Then, of course, they embarrassed Peyton Manning and his Denver Broncos 43-8.

Pete Carroll’s disciplined squad put up 417 points last season, which was the eighth most in the NFL. Even more importantly than that, they only surrendered 231 points, a league best.

What was impressive about Seattle last year was their composure and solidity. Second year starting quarterback Russell Wilson led the team at 25 years old, and threw 26 touchdowns without a hint of an elite receiving core. Not to mention he produced one of the most efficient offenses in the league; only the Saints, Panthers and Colts gave the ball away less than Seattle. They also took the ball away 39 times, mostly in thanks to the Legion of Boom.

I could ramble about stats all day, but it would bore you. So bottom-line, the Seahawks were filthy, and most importantly young. Now I raise the question to all of you; what happened?

They’re 5-3 through the first half of this season which isn’t bad by normal standards, but the wins haven’t been impressive. They dominated Green Bay in the opening game of the year, but were outplayed by the inconsistent Chargers in week 2. They followed that up with an overtime win against the Broncos in a Super Bowl rematch. Then they lost a close game to Dallas and the Rams in consecutive weeks. Two weeks ago, they barely snuck past the struggling Panthers, and last week they almost blew a 21-point lead against the winless Raiders.

Granted, they do have the fourth toughest NFC schedule to this point, but it’s no excuse to getting dominated by the Rams in the first half of their game and the second half against the Raiders. We didn’t ever see any slip-ups like that last year, so it came as a shock to most of us when they were in danger of going 3-4.

Wilson is doing an admirable job at QB this year, throwing 11 scores and just 3 picks in addition to rushing for 3 touchdowns. As a team, they rank eleventh in scoring and tenth in defense. They’ve forced 10 turnovers, and have only given the ball away 3 times.

All of that sounds fine and dandy, but I think there are hidden mines in the Seattle organization.

At the front of the minefield is Percy Harvin; why did he really get traded? I think it had something to do with his ego, but we have way of knowing for sure. Carroll said that he had been given enough chances, but what has he done in the past?? This is the first time we got news of Harvin disrupting the team, so one would have to imagine that whatever he did was behind closed doors.

Obviously I can’t say for certainty, but I think there are only 2 possible reasons for the sudden trade.

1) Harvin wasn’t happy with his role on the team. This is generally the reason for out-of-the-blue trades, but Harvin played a huge role on this team whenever he was healthy. He was the focal point of the wildcat offense, and every trick play in the book revolved around him. They designed a multitude of plays specifically for him, so this appears to be the lesser of the two possibilities.

2) The second, and more likely possibility is that Harvin had a feud with at least one player in the locker room. Seattle wouldn’t want anything to interrupt the chemistry they had retained from last year, and if Harvin was stirring up trouble, I imagine they would move quickly to prevent it from becoming a lasting issue. That would explain the quick deal to a team who’s out of playoff contention (New York Jets, 1-6 at the time). The other eye-opener was that in return, Seattle acquired a conditional draft pick that can range from the fourth to the sixth round.

I know buying into Harvin is a gamble, but the 26-year old, 22nd overall pick is significantly more valuable than a conditional sixth rounder.

This leads me to one of their other “problems”. Trade rumors have been swirling around 28-year old running back Marshawn Lynch recently, and again, no one knows why.

You have to give credit to Seattle’s front office and coaching staff; they really know how to keep the media out of the locker room.

Lynch is one of the key cogs to their mechanism, and has proven his worth time and time again. He is a workhorse on and off the field, and seemingly adapts the body of a bull whenever he touches the ball.

Despite that, there was talk of shipping the veteran back to a team like San Diego for a younger and more agile back along the lines of Branden Oliver. This situation is easier to dissect but it still worried fantasy owners and Seattle fans.

After Harvin was traded, there was uproar from some of the players. Wilson lobbied to the front office to pull the trade off the table. Lynch even more furious than Wilson; he was visibly angry about the deal that sent his good friend and comrade away, and was refusing to travel with the team to Saint Louis.

I think this is where the rumors started. Somehow, somebody escalated the story into “Lynch is refusing to play and wants to be traded” or “Lynch is refusing to play and they are going to trade him too.” Fortunately for Seattle fans, these rumors proved to be insignificant. Carroll came out and said that Lynch isn’t going anywhere, and this past game against Oakland proved that statement. The tailback bullied his way to a 143 total yards and 2 scores, and looked to have a renewed fire in his heart.

The locker room issues appear to be under control now, but who am I to say that all is well in the rainy city?

They’ve only skated by some of the worst teams in the NFL, and there is a noticeable difference in the potency of their offense from last season. It’s safe to say that Beast Mode is slowing down, averaging just 68 yards a game, opposed to 78 last year and 99 the year before. He’s still effective, but he might be the biggest reason for Seattle’s offensive slumber.

Now take a look at the wide receiving core. Doug Baldwin, Jermaine Kearse, Kevin Norwood, Ricardo Lockette, and Paul Richardson. How many of those names stand out to you? How many are capable of making a big play? There answer to those questions is yet to be revealed, and it’s playing a huge role in the Seahawks poor third down efficiency this year.

The defense would be the best in the league, but they’re battling injuries to key players. Stud cornerback Byron Maxwell hasn’t played since October 12th, which that the Legion of Boom hasn’t been together since the first quarter of Seattle’s week 6 loss to Dallas. In addition to Maxwell, linebacker Bobby Wagner has been out since week 6 as well, and Malcolm Smith is out of action for the next couple weeks.

The NFL fan base, along with myself, might be jumping the gun on Seattle. However, there are issues than cannot be avoided this year, and it might be taking a toll on everybody.

They currently sit on a 5-3 record, which is good for the sixth seed if the playoffs were to start today. But there are a handful of dangerous teams behind them including division opponent San Francisco, and if they aren’t careful they can easily slip out of a playoff spot.

Considering they’ve kept everything on the down low this year, there may be even more issues within Seattle than we are aware of. They might be over the hump now, but it’s definitely worth keeping an eye on in the latter half of this season.

Sunday, November 2, 2014

2014-2015 NBA Regular Season Predictions

FINALLY! The 2014-2015 NBA Season is upon us, and in a “quick” rundown I’m going to share my thoughts on each team in the upcoming season.

EASTERN CONFERENCE

Atlantic
W
L
Toronto Raptors
50
32
New York Knicks
46
36
Brooklyn Nets
41
41
Boston Celtics
28
54
Philadelphia 76ers
22
60

I see this as a cakewalk for the Raptors to win their second straight divisional title. Considering DeMar DeRozan’s growth in skill and maturity, Kyle Lowry’s experience (who is fresh off of his career year), and Jonas Valanciunas manning the paint, the Raptors are the most balanced team in the Atlantic division. Valanciunas worked with HOF Hakeem Olajuwon this summer, and I think we’re about to see a breakout year from the 7 foot Lithuanian big man.

If I had to pick another team from this whimpering division to make the playoffs, I would have to go with the Knicks. Why? Because of Phil Jackson, the potential on the court, and Phil Jackson. The addition of Samuel Dalembert gives the Knicks their first intelligent big man of the 21st century. I think he’ll pair nicely with veteran point guard Pablo Prigioni and the young Shane Larkin. Dalembert won’t show his worth in the box scores, but he has a history of inflating the numbers of those around him.

I don’t see any of these other teams posing any real threat to challenge Toronto, let alone the rest of the East. The Nets are too old to keep up with their youth, the Celtics have too many questions surrounding them (Rondo, Rondo, and more Rondo), and the 76ers are in the middle of a vast rebuilding stage.

Central
W
L
Chicago Bulls
57
25
Cleveland Cavaliers
55
27
Indiana Pacers
42
40
Milwaukee Bucks
36
46
Detroit Pistons
34
48

The Central division is easily the toughest and most competitive in the Eastern conference. Both the Pistons and Bucks have a lot of individual talent, especially the Pistons. However, neither squad can play together, especially the Pistons. The Bucks had one of the best off seasons thanks to their new ownership, and acquired Brandon Knight, Jared Dudley, Jabari Parker, Jerryd Bayless and Kendall Marshall. They still have Giannis Antetokounmpo, John Henson, Ersan Ilyasova, OJ Mayo, and Khris Middleton. I apologize for naming off nearly every player on the roster, but I want people to know that the Bucks are on the rise. Every player I listed has high potential, and some have already shown it. In a few years time the Bucks will be on of the best teams in the East. For now, they’re going to work on developing their chemistry and adding a veteran presence.

The Pacers took a huge hit this offseason, by losing Stephenson to Charlotte and Paul George to injury. I think they have enough in place to make a run at a playoff spot, but it’s going to be tough for them.

Now, we come to the most anticipated team since 2010. I’m not going to go into detail, because most of you probably already know about LeBron and co.  I’ll I’m going to say is that it will take time, and I don’t expect the Cavs to dominate from the get-go. I have the Bulls winning the Central by a few games this season, barring any setbacks to you-know-who.

SOUTHEAST
W
L
Washington Wizards
51
31
Charlotte Hornets
47
35
Atlanta Hawks
43
39
Miami Heat
40
42
Orlando Magic
25
57

This division is filled with high-potential teams, but those same teams have question marks around them. The Hornets had a shaky offense last year, and it’s unknown as to how they’ll do this year. But they retained the defense that ranked sixth in the league last year.

The Hawks have issues in every corner of their front office, but for the most part have maintained their core players. Plus, they have a pretty decent chemistry between their starting five.

We all know that the Heat lost LeBron, and I can’t imagine them finding success without them. Dwayne Wade’s career is pretty much over now that he can’t use LeBron as a crutch. Chris Bosh will be the frontrunner to lead the team to the playoffs. Luol Deng will do what he can, but I fear that he’s the next Lamar Odom.

I think The Wizards have the best chance to win the division. John Wall is entering his prime, the frontcourt (Nene Hilario and Marcin Gortat) is in tact, and adding Paul Pierce is the perfect player to integrate Otto Porter and Bradley Beal into the NBA. I’ll even go as far as to say the Wizards have enough talent to win over 50 games.

WESTERN CONFERENCE

Northwest
W
L
Oklahoma City Thunder
55
27
Portland Trail Blazers
54
28
Denver Nuggets
46
36
Utah Jazz
34
48
Minnesota Timberwolves
20
62

Even with Kevin Durant out for the first portion of the month I think Serge Ibaka and Russell Westbrook can hold it down until he returns. Russell thrives without KD, and KD thrives without Westbrook, so they’ll be fine. Portland may be able to contest them for the title, but other than those two teams there’s not a lot of strength in the Northwest.

If a third team were to come out of this division, it would be the Nuggets. Ty Lawson is filthy, and Kenneth Faried is one of the hardest workers in the NBA. But they’re missing pieces, and can’t compete with the aforementioned players alone.

The Jazz are nearing the end of their rebuilding mode. They have a solid core of young and talented players, but their frontcourt is lacking. And I think the Timberwolves will resume their spot as the worst team in the NBA. Not a lot of guesswork here in the Northwest.

Pacific
W
L
Los Angeles Clippers
56
26
Golden State Warriors
52
30
Phoenix Suns
45
37
Sacramento Kings
37
45
Los Angeles Lakers
24
58

This is where the West starts to get wild. The Warriors and Clippers will duke it out all year for the top spot in the Pacific, and I have Chris Paul and company coming out on top.

The Suns have added some pieces, and the Morris twins are playing well for them. Goran Dragic continues to improve, and might be able to lead them to the playoffs. But the West is better than ever, so he’ll be hard-pressed to do so.

I think the Kings will be looking at the playoffs from the outside in, but to their credit they’ve gotten better. Boogie Cousins is filthy, and Darren Collison is an underrated guard. Kings and Bucks are in the same boat this year; if anything, they’ll just play spoiler in the late months of the season.

The Lakers have a brutal roster this year, but it’s not stopping Kobe from going as hard as he possibly can. He appears to be healthy entering this season, but it will not be nearly enough to challenge the loaded west for a playoff spot.

Southwest
W
L
San Antonio Spurs
61
21
Memphis Grizzlies
55
27
Dallas Mavericks
50
32
Houston Rockets
47
35
New Orleans Pelicans
                     45
37

Other than the Spurs, I don’t have the faintest idea of how this division will pan out. All the teams are playoff caliber, but I doubt that all 5 can make it.

I have the Spurs as the only 60-winner this season, and the Grizzlies following closely behind with their prolific defense. The Mavericks are back in the running to pose a significant threat in the playoffs, and the Rockets have a star-studded starting 5. They still have a lackluster bench, but Harden and Howard might be enough to propel them to the postseason.

Lastly, the Pelicans… I feel bad that their young and skillful lineup is stuck in one of the best divisions I’ve ever seen. Anthony Davis and Omer Asik are two talented bigs with two different styles of play, and I think they’ll compliment each other. They also have one of the most skilled frontcourts in the NBA (Tyreke Evans, Jrue Holiday, Eric Gordon). The only thing working against the Pelicans this year is experience. In due time though, they’ll be a serious contender in the West.